The real estate landscape in Winter Garden has seen a notable shift in 2025. After years of rapid growth and rising prices, the market has entered a more balanced phase. Buyers have more options, sellers are adjusting expectations, and pricing has leveled off. For those tracking the Winter Garden, Orlando, FL real estate market, the current trends point to stability with signs of gradual change ahead.
This update focuses on the single-family home segment, covering pricing, inventory, demand, neighborhood performance, and what to expect throughout the year.
Prices Have Flattened at High Levels
As of early 2025, the median price for a single-family home in Winter Garden is around $525,000. That number is mostly unchanged from last year, signaling a stable but no longer fast-rising market. The price per square foot has increased slightly, averaging around $245. Buyers today are still paying near record highs but no longer facing significant bidding wars.
Most homes sell for about 97–98% of their list price. Only a small portion are going above asking. The days of paying tens of thousands over list price are gone, replaced by more negotiation and selective buyer behavior.
Most homes sell for about 97–98% of their list price. Only a small portion are going above asking. The days of paying tens of thousands over list price are gone, replaced by more negotiation and selective buyer behavior.
How 2025 Compares to 2023 and 2024
Winter Garden’s real estate boom peaked in 2021 and 2022, followed by a cooling period in 2023 and 2024. Median sale prices stayed flat during that time, with 2024 prices nearly identical to those in 2023. Sales volume dropped about 9% year-over-year, but average sale prices remained strong, particularly in the higher-end segment.
By late 2024, supply increased, buyer activity eased, and prices stopped climbing. 2025 has continued this trend of normalization. Pricing is still historically high, but growth has paused, and more inventory is available across the city.
By late 2024, supply increased, buyer activity eased, and prices stopped climbing. 2025 has continued this trend of normalization. Pricing is still historically high, but growth has paused, and more inventory is available across the city.
More Inventory, Longer Sales Cycles
Inventory is up substantially compared to the tight conditions of previous years. The number of active single-family listings in Winter Garden reached its highest level in nearly a decade during 2024 and remains elevated into 2025. Months of supply now range from 2.9 to 3.2, a significant shift from the extreme lows seen in 2021 and 2022.
Homes are staying on the market longer. The average days on the market reached 75 in early 2025, up nearly 40% from the prior year. About a third of listings take over 90 days to sell, reflecting a slower, more measured pace for transactions.
Homes are staying on the market longer. The average days on the market reached 75 in early 2025, up nearly 40% from the prior year. About a third of listings take over 90 days to sell, reflecting a slower, more measured pace for transactions.
Buyer Demand Is Steady but Cautious
While demand has cooled compared to the height of the market, buyers haven’t disappeared. In fact, sales volume in early 2025 is slightly higher than a year ago. February 2025 saw 45 single-family sales in Winter Garden, compared to 38 in February 2024.
Most homes receive around two offers, and many are selling below asking. Fewer buyers are paying in cash, and financing plays a more significant role now. Interest rates remain in the 6.5% to 7% range, keeping some buyers cautious. Still, demand is holding steady, especially in the mid-range market.
Most homes receive around two offers, and many are selling below asking. Fewer buyers are paying in cash, and financing plays a more significant role now. Interest rates remain in the 6.5% to 7% range, keeping some buyers cautious. Still, demand is holding steady, especially in the mid-range market.
Popular Price Points and Home Sizes
The sweet spot for buyer activity in 2025 is the $400,000 to $600,000 range. These homes, typically with three or four bedrooms, represent the bulk of Winter Garden’s market. Three-bedroom homes sell for about $462,000, while four-bedroom homes come in closer to $645,000.
Luxury homes, especially those over $750,000, are moving more slowly but remain in demand. Entry-level single-family homes under $350,000 are scarce, making townhomes or smaller properties the main option for lower-budget buyers.
Luxury homes, especially those over $750,000, are moving more slowly but remain in demand. Entry-level single-family homes under $350,000 are scarce, making townhomes or smaller properties the main option for lower-budget buyers.
Neighborhood Trends to Watch
Winter Garden is split between the historic downtown area and the rapidly growing Horizon West. Downtown remains popular for its charm and limited inventory. Homes near Plant Street, the West Orange Trail, and the city core continue to hold value well.
On the other hand, much of the new development is concentrated in Horizon West. This area offers modern amenities, newer homes, and a higher inventory. Builders continue introducing new options, and buyers are responding, particularly those relocating or looking for turnkey homes.
Luxury pockets near lakes and gated communities are also active, though sales typically take longer due to smaller buyer pools.
On the other hand, much of the new development is concentrated in Horizon West. This area offers modern amenities, newer homes, and a higher inventory. Builders continue introducing new options, and buyers are responding, particularly those relocating or looking for turnkey homes.
Luxury pockets near lakes and gated communities are also active, though sales typically take longer due to smaller buyer pools.
Factors Driving the 2025 Market
Interest rates remain the biggest force shaping the market. With rates hovering around 7%, affordability has tightened, reducing how much buyers can borrow. As a result, some homeowners are reluctant to sell and lose their lower fixed rates.
Rising property taxes and insurance premiums across Florida have added to the overall cost of homeownership, slowing demand somewhat. However, population growth in the Orlando region continues supporting housing demand, and new construction in Winter Garden keeps supply balanced.
Rising property taxes and insurance premiums across Florida have added to the overall cost of homeownership, slowing demand somewhat. However, population growth in the Orlando region continues supporting housing demand, and new construction in Winter Garden keeps supply balanced.
Forecast for the Rest of 2025
Market analysts expect a steady year ahead. If mortgage rates decline into the mid-5% range, buyer activity could increase in the second half of 2025. Depending on how the interest rate environment plays out, home prices may increase slightly — likely 2% or less for the year.
Inventory is expected to rise slightly but not dramatically. Builders are still active, and new homes will continue to enter the market. This should keep prices from rising quickly and give buyers more flexibility.
Sellers should stay realistic on pricing and be ready for longer listing times. Buyers should monitor interest rates, as even small shifts could open up more purchasing power and competition.
Inventory is expected to rise slightly but not dramatically. Builders are still active, and new homes will continue to enter the market. This should keep prices from rising quickly and give buyers more flexibility.
Sellers should stay realistic on pricing and be ready for longer listing times. Buyers should monitor interest rates, as even small shifts could open up more purchasing power and competition.
Navigate the Winter Garden Market With Fernanda Negromonte
If you're planning to buy or sell in Winter Garden, Fernanda Negromonte is ready to help you move forward with confidence. With deep knowledge of the Winter Garden, Orlando, FL real estate market and a clear understanding of today’s trends, Fernanda offers the guidance you need to make smart, well-timed decisions.
As the local market enters a more balanced phase — with steady prices, increased inventory, and better opportunities for buyers — now is the time to work with a trusted expert who knows how to navigate changing conditions. Contact Fernanda Negromonte today to take the next step toward your real estate goals in Winter Garden.
As the local market enters a more balanced phase — with steady prices, increased inventory, and better opportunities for buyers — now is the time to work with a trusted expert who knows how to navigate changing conditions. Contact Fernanda Negromonte today to take the next step toward your real estate goals in Winter Garden.
